connectivity

Barbarians at the Gate

Earlier today, U.S. Director of Intelligence Dennis Blair put "cyberattacks" at the top of his prepared remarks to the Senate:

The threat of a crippling attack on computer and telecommunications networks is growing, America’s top intelligence official told lawmakers on Tuesday, as an increasingly sophisticated group of enemies has “severely threatened” the sometimes fragile systems undergirding the country’s information systems.

. . . .

“Malicious cyber activity is occurring on an unprecedented scale with extraordinary sophistication,” he said.

The decision by Mr. Blair to begin his annual testimony before Congress with the cyber threat points up the concerns among American intelligence officials about the potentially devastating consequences of a coordinated attack on the nation’s technology apparatus, sometimes called a “Cyber Pearl Harbor.”

I have no special insight on this issue, other than to note that lawyers are not immune.  Indeed, lawyers may be especially vulnerable, given the increasingly collaborative nature of law practice, the large amount of sensitive data for which we are responsible, and our increasing dependence on network connectivity.   My (rather safe) prediction is that security will demand an increasingly large chunk of law firm IT budgets.

D. Mark Jackson

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It's the Network, Stupid

It's official in my book.  At least for the near future, network performance is the limiting reagent for computing:

"Carrier networks aren’t set to handle five million tablets sucking down 5 gigabytes of data each month,” Philip Cusick, an analyst at Macquarie Securities, said.

Wireless carriers have drastically underestimated the network demand by consumers, which has been driven largely by the iPhone and its applications, he said. “It’s only going to get worse as streaming video gets more prevalent.”

An hour of browsing the Web on a mobile phone consumes roughly 40 megabytes of data. Streaming tunes on an Internet radio station like Pandora draws down 60 megabytes each hour. Watching a grainy YouTube video for the same period of time causes the data consumption to nearly triple. And watching a live concert or a sports event will consume close to 300 megabytes an hour.

Debates over the 16 nm node barrier and other theoretical limits of Moore's Law are certainly more interesting.  But in terms of what really constrains our ability to use technology, I think network issues will predominate.

Most people I know are reasonably happy with the speed of their computing devices, especially with newer devices.  But who doesn't wish for faster connectivity?

It's interesting how the size of operating systems are leveling off, or even getting smaller, and virtualization is helping to maximizing existing infrastructure.  Homegrown processing power is a sideshow.  The network is the main event.  Witness the rise of web apps, cloud computing, internet media, gaming, and an increasingly mobile or remotely-based workforce.  The trends don't bode well.

I'm not sure why industry was unprepared for this.  It's not as if these trends were unforeseeable. How we solve this emerging problem should be interesting.

D. Mark Jackson

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